📝 News & Notes

With a few weeks before training camp begins, our news is primarily quotes from coaches and GMs or beat reporters giving their takes. The challenge is it’s difficult to discern whether a beat reporter is just giving us their guess of what will happen or if they actually have some inside information from team sources. There’s far from a perfect science but it’s often doing your best to read between the lines for each article. Here are some of the recent examples

• Eagles beat reporter Andrew DiCecco believes ‘there could be more variance’ in the run/pass split for the Eagles this year with a new OC [insidethebirds.com]

  My take: Intuitively it makes sense but unlikely there’s any inside information driving this. If you use a site’s ranks, this variance is likely priced in.

• The Athletic published their “one key observation for every team” with beat reporters giving takes such as ‘the George Pickens hype is understandable,’ the Chiefs will ‘look for more emphasis on explosion’ in their passing game, and Justin Herbert’s new ‘additions are going to make Ladd McConkey even more dangerous.’ [The Athletic]

  My take: These pieces are often reminders of things we already know, or worse, unactionable fluff. I wouldn’t adjust anything off this.

• According to Zack Rosenblatt, the Jets are trying to replicate Detroit’s offensive success by surrounding their QB with explosive weapons, much like the Lions did with Jared Goff. Specifically discussing the similarities such as drafting TE Mason Taylor and WR Arian Smith replicating Sam LaPorta and speedster Jameson Williams. With the big potential fantasy payoff being comparing Breece Hall and Braelon Allen to a “a pseudo-Jahmyr Gibbs-David Montgomery duo.” [The Athletic]

  My take: This feels more grounded, likely based on team conversations, not just observation. While it’s obviously a light version of the Lions, the logic tracks. At Allen’s current ADP, the upside is intriguing and I’ll be adding more Allen going forward.

🔍 ADP Tracker

📈 Risers

• Evan Engram - This is likely the result of Jonnu falling and no other TEs being available in this part of the draft. This is not an ADP I want to be chasing.

• D’Andre Swift - Swift’s rise is the result of increased confidence there will not be any additional competition in Chicago. I’m still buying.

• Alvin Kamara - Classic RB veteran riser. I’d rather have Hubbard and KWIII.

• Rome Odunze - Don’t understand this rise but I think he’s a fine pick.

• DK Metcalf - Delayed rise from Rodgers signing, fine pick with wide range of outcomes.

• Rashee Rice - You all know my thoughts from last week. Fine here but done buying once he gets to McConkey / Achane.

📉 Fallers

• Travis Hunter - Likely aligns to GM James Gladstone’s comments we discussed last week. I’m definitely concerned at this price.

• RJ Harvey - Continued falling after the Dobbins signing. Expecting price to be cheaper before I start drafting.

• Jordan Addison - People are going to remain scared on Addison until his court case clears. I think the suspension is already baked into the price, though. And love the week 17 matchup vs DET.

• Joe Mixon - Aligns with last week’s note about the slight change in wording regarding his injury. Mostly a fade for me.

• Jared Goff - Still slightly overpriced but fine to draft when stacking.

• Terry McLaurin - ADP was a bit high but now coming back to where it should be. Someone I target more on UD than DK/Drafters.

📊 Poll of the Day

Fairly split results to yesterday’s poll which isn’t surprising given the ambiguity of the situation. If we do get positive news on Anthony Richardson as the likely starter, I will be more than happy to chase that.

For today, I am curious what you all as FFin60 early adopters think of an idea a couple of you left as feedback in the survey. Would you want there to be an FFin60 Discord? I have mixed thoughts so figured I’d reach out to you all first.