📝 News & Notes

• Curious which team was the fastest paced in 2024 and projected to keep that position this year? That would be Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders. [Pat Thorman]

  My take: Offensive pace is one of the most underutilized pieces of fantasy information as quite simply, the faster the offense plays, the more plays in the game, the more expected fantasy points. This entire article is fantasy gold.

   

• OL Rankings: If the Houston Texans offense is going to surpass this year’s high expectations, they’ll have to do it despite having the league’s worst offensive line according to PFF. The biggest turnaround of the group are the Chicago Bears climbing all the way to the 4th best. [PFF]

  My take: While already accounted for in the macro for most rankings, it is still helpful to better understand the OL quality for each offense. Worthwhile read/skim.

• JK Dobbins the starter in Denver? That’s what Broncos beat reporter claims with RJ Harvey seeing an extensive amount of touches and Jaleel McLaughlin remaining Sean Payton’s most trusted guy. [@32BeatWriters]

  My take: It’s an interesting tidbit but not actionable as the veteran being the starter is expected. The McLaughlin bit might be noteworthy though as if this turns into a three-headed backfield, it could be a nightmare for fantasy.

🔍 ADP Tracker

📈 Risers

• Tyreek Hill - The impacts of the Jonnu trade are still being felt as Tyreek has moved solidly into the 2nd round. I think there is still room for him to rise, as I think he’s as good a pick as anyone up until Ladd McConkey / AJ Brown

• De’Von Achane - Solidly in the Ashton Jeanty / Derrick Henry group of RBs. My current preference is Jeanty - Achane - Henry but prefer the BTJ and better WRs above them.

• Bijan Robinson - Really not sure what is driving this move over Saquon but don’t feel comfortable taking a strong stance between these two RBs. In general, this is how I mostly feel about these picks as it’s fairly flat and the 2nd round picks are lackluster.

• George Kittle - the hype around the industry for George Kittle is quite strong, as he gives the weekly upside you want in a best ball tournament as well as being attached to a powerful offense that could lead to a league breaking season. I liked him at the 4/5 turn but his price is getting too expensive for me to be drafting heavily.

• J.K. Dobbins - There’s a dead range of RBs in the 11th round where people RB needy have been reaching for Dobbins. It’s not that there are many better RBs we should be drafting at that point, but the quality of other positions (QBs + TEs) are better fits for my teams.

📉 Fallers

• Jonnu Smith & Pat Freiermuth - ADPs take longer to fall than rise so after an event like the Jonnu trade, we have to be patient before being willing to start buying at their new price. We’re not there yet.

• Saquon Barkley - See Bijan Robinson explanation above

• Travis Hunter - Give people a reason to fade a player they think may be a DB and they’ll take it. I’m fine with the current price though not going overboard as cheaper prices are possible in August.

• Amon-Ra St. Brown - When deciding between a group of elite WRs, which is the case at the back of the first round, something like a minor offseason knee surgery is enough to break the tie. Coming off back-to-back overall WR3 seasons, I’m still bullish on him and happy to make that end of first round click.

📊 Poll of the Day

Looks like the majority of you play in 2-5 home leagues, with a blend of redraft, keeper, and dynasty. There was a time before best ball and DFS where I was in 20+ leagues, thinking the more I was in, the more info I’d get from other sharp players to win my other leagues. Nowadays, I’m just down to one keeper league with friends.